Three machines produce 60%, 30%, 10% of items with defect rates 2%, 3%, 4%. If an item is defective, probability it came from the third machine is: MCQ with Answer and Explanation

Three machines produce 60%, 30%, 10% of items with defect rates 2%, 3%, 4%. If an item is defective, probability it came from the third machine is:
A. 0.04
B. 0.16
C. 0.25
D. 0.10
Answer: Option B
Solution (By JKSSB Mock Tests)
P(D) = 0.6×0.02 + 0.3×0.03 + 0.1×0.04 = 0.012+0.009+0.004=0.025. P(M3|D) = 0.004/0.025 = 0.16.

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