There are two urns: Urn 1 contains 4 white, 6 black; Urn 2 contains 5 white, 5 black. An urn is chosen at random and a ball drawn. If it is white, probability it came from Urn 1 is: MCQ with Answer and Explanation

There are two urns: Urn 1 contains 4 white, 6 black; Urn 2 contains 5 white, 5 black. An urn is chosen at random and a ball drawn. If it is white, probability it came from Urn 1 is:
A. 4/9
B. 5/9
C. 1/2
D. 2/5
Answer: Option A
Solution (By JKSSB Mock Tests)
P(Urn1|W) = (1/2 * 4/10) / (1/2*4/10 + 1/2*5/10) = 0.2 / (0.2+0.25)=0.2/0.45=4/9.

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